Spiritual Insurrection

Cognitive Illusions

Only a collective epiphany can save us now.

Charles Peterson

The human eye has a blind spot – a small portion of the visual field, about the size of a pencil eraser – where the optic disk is located. We aren’t normally aware of this blind spot, but with one eye closed, any object passing through this small area will disappear momentarily. Our visual field appears seamless because of an optical illusion: Our mind conspires to fill in the blank area with the colors of what surrounds it. We have other blind spots too – a whole series of what psychologist Daniel Kahneman calls “cognitive illusions” – that our minds and our culture work to obscure.

In Thinking, Fast and Slow, Kahneman, a Nobel laureate for his work in behavioral economics, uncovers several mental blind spots. There is, for example, the “focusing illusion”: When we focus on a single factor like how much money we make, we inevitably overestimate its importance to our overall well-being. This explains why surveys consistently report that people think they would be happier if they were wealthier while also proving on the contrary that rich people are no more happy than the less wealthy. The same distortion of reality happens when we focus on any single factor, from whether we live in California to whether we own the latest gadget.

Some cognitive illusions are more pernicious than others. Kahneman has identified one cognitive illusion in particular that overturns the core assumptions of capitalism. He calls it the “endowment effect”: we exaggerate the value of objects that we possess. In one experiment, Kahneman collected a random group of students. Half the students were given a coffee mug and the other half were asked to buy those very same mugs from their classmates with their own money. Typical economic theory would say that the two sides would haggle and eventually come to a mutually agreeable price – that the market would self-regulate. In a review of Thinking, Fast and Slow, Freeman Dyson explains what actually happened: “The average prices offered in a typical experiment were: sellers $7.12, buyers $2.87. Because the price gap was so large few mugs actually sold.” Sellers ground the market to a halt, overvaluing their mug simply because they possessed it. “The experiment convincingly demolished the central dogma of classical economics,” Dyson writes.

Kahneman’s “illusion of validity” describes the tendency of experts to trust their own judgment. Dyson refers to the example of the “Apgar score” (a statistical formula that uses heart rate, breathing, reflexes, muscle tone and color to judge the health of newborn babies) to illustrate this illusion. Turns out that the Apgar score “does better than the average doctor in deciding whether the baby needs immediate help.” In other words, a basic formula anyone can do consistently outperforms the opinion of a trained medical professional.

Applying the illusion of validity undermines experts across all disciplines, including economics. After studying the “investment outcomes of some twenty-five anonymous wealth advisers” over the course of eight consecutive years, Kahneman discovered that they performed just about as well as random chance. Their management of financial flows, Kahneman concluded, is a “dice-rolling contest, not a game of skill.” And yet, Kahneman also found that these same experts will persist in believing their intuitive judgments are correct, forcing them on us all, even in the face of tremendous counter-evidence. As Dyson puts it, “the illusion of validity does not disappear just because facts prove it to be false.” Breaking through this barrier is the essential crux and challenge of cultural jammers.

We live in a world where a constellation of cognitive illusions – that infinite growth can be sustained on a finite planet, that consumerism can make us happy, that corporations are persons – are dragging us into an ecological apocalypse. These cognitive illusions won’t disappear because they’ve been proven false – they must be overcome at a deeper level. We need something other than rationality, statistics, scientific thought … we need something more, even, than what has passed for activism thus far. We must spark an epiphany, a worldwide flash of insight that renders our blind spots visible once and for all. This collective awakening begins the moment we look inward and ask ourselves: Am I caught inside a grand cognitive illusion?

Micah White

82 comments on the article “Cognitive Illusions”

Displaying 31 - 40 of 82

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Anonymous

So you might want to be careful what you wish for.

In fact, if you were proper you would be more precise and say:

"There needs to be a reduction of courage on one side, and an increase of courage on the other."

Not an overall increase of courage across the board.

Anonymous

Did you actually read the article, or did you just think you read it?

Because it pointed out the problem, and it's nothing to do with anything being undiscovered.

Anonymous

I am Occupy. the 99.9999999999%

The rest of you are greedy bastards that need to return my monies. the 0.0000000001%

You ugly greedy no good criminal bastards. rot in hell.

Anonymous

The article ends with a yes or no question. I think this is a useful discussion, but I thought one of the big lessons from the cold war is how limiting it is to have only two options. Everyone has a blind spot, but at any particular moment each persons blind spot is covering up a different thing, so in community the problem of blind spots can be smaller. I am happy to fight against how much power corporations have relative to us mere mortals of flesh and blood who can only be in one place at a time. But I have worked with farming enough to distrust the way you formulate things in terms of zero sum. Sometimes you get an unexpectedly large harvest, sometimes plague strikes. And when you work with soil building techniques growth is possible. Yields increase as you understand what grows best in a particular place. Sometimes a new crop transforms the yields the way corn and potatoes did when they were brought back to Europe. And when you farm with horses instead of tractors, waste takes on a different meaning. Factory centered economic growth has a limit, and a financial sector driven by a desire for usurious rates of return pushes us up against that glass ceiling. I think the problem is that most of our frame of reference is machinery rather than things like apple trees, which can yield more year by year if skillfully tended. And my beef with corporations is that they tend to pay a lot more for learning skills to tending to loan officers and sales representatives rather than the lowly fruit pickets and pruners. and I also have to say that I have actually had better experiences with corporations which understand the products they are selling (which means not financial services) than with organizations which are so idealistic that it sometimes seems like they are just trying to joust with windmills.
And it doesnt look that way to me...in my eyes!

Anonymous

Ok, now expand that to globally, and realise that people are suffering very deeply and materially as opposed to just a little bit inconvenienced.

Anonymous

It has become pretty obvious that the emperor has no clothes for a long time now. We have a few people demanding that everything goes to them and with that everything they are controlling us. When people wake up and realize that what was once our government is a group of elites and elite puppets serving that elite exclusively, arrests will be made.

There will always be criminals and sociopaths that insist they are the top of the food chain in all things but our problem is the law and the military that WE PAY are serving our oppressors.

The call is to the military and law enforcement to protect Americans from foreign and DOMESTIC terrorists. If a group of people, clearly, taking giant chunks of America's wealth for themselves, outsourcing jobs to third world countries, and then denying the children of the unemployed decent access to food via the food stamp legislation just passed isn't enough to show that America is occupied and under siege, I don't know what is.

The time to stand up is now. We know we are abused, poisoned, degraded, disenfranchised, exploited, and robbed. Now is the time to realize the government is captured and we are serving an enemy of the people. Obama and Romney are nothing but puppets and so is our no choice sham of an election that is nothing more than busy work to keep people busy while they create new avenues of robbery and soft genocide. Completely forget about the elections, they are time and resource wasters at this point.

The call should be singular. That call is for the military and law enforcement to move toward saving America unless they want to work for the NWO as machines of death on a Hell hole planet of raining death and slaughter.

Anonymous

Thieves and sociopaths with guns steal goods, oftentimes murdering the people they steal from. That's the U.S. Military. Swags in fashionable clothes fence the stolen goods, take a cut, and then sell them on the Street. Them's your brokers. The question is: Who should we take down first?

Anonymous

yes, some in the military are ready to kill whoever for their cut but most of them are honorable soldiers that care about their country, their families that live here, and their own souls. We need them. Do not make them your enemies. That thinking is in the service of the oppressors.

I think there are plenty of soldiers and officers that see themselves as peace keepers. Yes, the cops have served the banking elite against Occupy. But we must build the paradigm for acceptable decent from orders against the people. In the beginning there was the word. If you build .... The WILL Come.

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